The normal family and standardising
◈ 6 cardsN(μ, σ²) — the second argument is the variance; z = (x − μ)/σ standardises a value and x = μ + zσ undoes it; every normal is the same curve relocated and rescaled.
One shape, two parameters
The normal distribution is the bell-shaped, symmetric density that describes an enormous range of measured quantities — and, from Module 8 on, describes sample means whatever the data look like. It is a family: every member has the same shape, located and scaled by two parameters. The mean says where the peak sits; the standard deviation says how wide the bell is. The curve is symmetric about , and about 68 % of its area lies within one of , 95 % within two, 99.7 % within three — the empirical rule of Module 3, which was really a statement about this curve.
Notation. This course writes
with the variance as the second argument. Northfield Credit's invoice amounts have mean \$120 and standard deviation \$15, so . Read the notation before the number: 225 is , and the SD you standardise with is . IBS1 writes with the SD, and R's pnorm takes the SD (L7.6); the course's choice is the handouts', and it is the one on the paper.
Standardising
The standard normal is the member with and , written . The cumulative table (L1.3, L7.3) is printed for alone, so every normal question is converted into a question by measuring the distance from the mean in standard deviations:
is a z-score: how many SDs above () or below () the mean lies. An invoice of \$138 at Northfield is
standard deviations above the mean. A \$99 invoice is — below the mean, and the sign carries that information. Since , : subtracting and dividing by are exactly Module 6's linear transformation with and , which is why the result has mean 0 and variance 1.
Un-standardising
The inverse problems of L7.4 run the other way: the table hands you a and you need the dollar amount. Solve the z-score formula for :
An invoice 0.8 SDs below the mean is $x = 120 + (-0.8)(15) = 120 - 12 = \$108$. Two SDs above is $120 + 2(15) = \$150$. The two formulas are the same equation read in opposite directions; every normal question in the course is one of them followed by a table lookup, or a table lookup followed by one of them.
Why the same curve
Standardising works because the normal family is closed under linear transformation: any is stretched by and shifted by . So one table serves every normal, and — the fact Module 8 rests on — a sample mean of normal data, being a linear combination, is itself normal.